Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Madryn		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	5.25
	1.68	3.25	5.25
	1.7	3.15	5.1	Watch
	1.7	3.41	5.95
	1.68	3.41	5.72	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5.75
	1.75	3.24	5.31	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)	5.42 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
54.3%

Draw
28.6%

Ciudad de Bolívar
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

28.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Cosi J. 2. Ortiz N. D. 6. Corvalan C. 3. Diarte L. 10. Solis N. 5. Machado C. 8. Meli M. 7. Marinucci L. 11. Servetto N. 9. Silba L.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Carrion A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 10. Gonzalez A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Diaz A. 7. Sanchez G. 9. Caraballo K. 11. Mucignat F.
Substitutes
18. Bersano F. 14. Dionisio A. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Jara E. 16. Martinez D. 19. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 20. Peinipil J. 15. Recalde F.	12. Alvarez E. (G) 13. Fernandez T. 19. Gridel M. 15. Guiacobini T. 18. Gutierrez M. 14. Ihitz N. 17. Ilarregui F. 16. Rodriguez T. 20. Villegas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Carrion A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
30', Quintana B. 🟨,
32', Cosi J. 🟨,
40', Navarro E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Solis N. ⚽,
45', Quintana B. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Machado C. ↓, Recalde F. ↑,
46', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
46', Carrion A. ↓, Guiacobini T. ↑,
46', Sanchez G. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
57', Fernandez T. 🟨,
62', Diarte L. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
67', Recalde F. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Silba L. ⚽, Meli M. (A),
72', Servetto N. 🟨,
73', Mucignat F. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
75', Servetto N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
75', Marinucci L. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
82', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
84', Caraballo K. ↓, Ilarregui F. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Silba L. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Deportivo Madryn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Madryn is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWTW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Mitre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
03.07.21	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0

Upcoming Matches