Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	LPF Play


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.10	6.25
	1.40	4.10	6.40
	1.44	4.24	6.86
	1.43	4.16	6.7
	1.42	4.15	6.75
	1.64	3.75	4.94
	1.42	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.09 ↓ (4.1)	6.24 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
63%

Draw
22.4%

Unión Santa Fe
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

16.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Carril Oeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 12th).

Ferro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Unión Santa Fe is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Ferro enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ferro has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ferro W	10	4	2	4	17:17	0	14
12	Union de Santa Fe W	11	2	4	5	10:19	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
25.09.26	Independiente - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Banfield - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Unión Santa Fe Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
27.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Luis	0:3 ✺
07.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - Social Atlético Televisión	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
28.06.26	Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2

Ferro Carril Oeste - Unión Santa Fe