The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 23.9%
Draw 27.1%
Ferro Carril Oeste 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.3%
26.6%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25.7%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Independiente - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 🟥,
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Independiente (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ferro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Ferro is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Independiente has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:20 (averaging 1.5:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.
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