The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Gen.Pico 30.6%
Draw 31.3%
Ciudad de Bolívar 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
31.1%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
22.2%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Gen.Pico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Gen.Pico than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Gen.Pico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferro Gen.Pico - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Vesco L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Urquijo G. ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Sequeyra J. (Pen),
86', 0 - 4, Urquijo G. (Pen),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Gen.Pico won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
In this match Ciudad de Bolívar is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Ferro Gen.Pico won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Gen.Pico won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.