Match Info

Mocambola - Round 20

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Ferroviario Lichinga		Ferroviário de Nampula

	1	X	2
	1.80	2.95	4.33
	1.8	3	4.3
	1.73	3.13	4.36
	1.79	3.22	4.51	Watch
	1.69	3.05	4.25
	1.81	3.1	4.43
	1.79	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)	3.07 ↑ (3)	4.35 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviario Lichinga
50.4%

Draw
29.1%

Ferroviário de Nampula
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviario Lichinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviario Lichinga's performance.

Ferroviário de Nampula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)

Ferroviario Lichinga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviário Nampula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferroviario Lichinga could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferroviario Lichinga	17	8	4	5	16:13	3	28
7	Ferroviario Nampula	17	8	4	5	19:21	-2	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Moçambola
02.09.26	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Chingale de Tete	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - UD Songo	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Ferroviário de Nampula
Mozambique Moçambola
14.08.26	Ferroviário de Nampula - Black Bulls	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nampula	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nampula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWTL

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