Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Ferroviária		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.7
	5.25	3.5	1.66
	5.1	3.35	1.62	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.7
	5.24	3.52	1.75
	4.75	3.2	1.7
	5.25	3.58	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↓ (5.4)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
18.3%

Draw
27.1%

Palmeiras
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

28.4%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

23.4%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferroviária - Palmeiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.22	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.02.22	Ferroviária - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Botafogo SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Ferroviária - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTTW
- Palmeiras
FIFA Club World Cup
12.02.22	Chelsea - Palmeiras	2:1 ET ✺
08.02.22	Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.22	Palmeiras - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Palmeiras - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.03.21	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	2:0
07.03.20	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:1
17.02.19	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:0
25.02.17	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	4:1
28.02.16	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:2

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