The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras 54.9%
Draw 27.8%
Vasco da Gama 17.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
28.7%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
28.2%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
Palmeiras is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Vasco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vasco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Palmeiras is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:16 (averaging 1.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Palmeiras against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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