Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 5

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Taubaté		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.92	2.18	Watch
	3.53	3	2.22
	3.46	2.85	2.21	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.48	2.82	2.19
	3.4	2.8	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.08)	2.87 ↓ (3.07)	2.2 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
26.7%

Draw
31.8%

Ferroviária
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Taubaté - Ferroviária Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Taubaté (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Taubaté (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Jhonatan Garcia ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Macario ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Denilson ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Ferroviária may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferroviária could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferroviária - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.01.26	CA Juventus - Taubaté	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Taubaté - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Sertãozinho - Taubaté	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.25	Taubaté - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTTW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.25	Ferroviária - Taubaté	3:2
06.03.24	Ferroviária - Taubaté	0:0

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