Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 28 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ferroviário Fortaleza |
|
Treze |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
2.95 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3.1 |
4.01 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.33 |
3 |
2.97 |
|
 |
1.86 |
3.3 |
3.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.45) |
3.09 ↓
(3.1) |
3.61 ↑
(2.63) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ferroviário Fortaleza
45.3% | Draw
29.5% | Treze
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviário Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Ciel (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 1, Guilherme Lucena ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.Ferroviário has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Treze's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Ferroviário is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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