Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		América RN

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.9	3	2.36
	2.88	3	2.44
	2.91	3.01	2.43
	2.9	2.96	2.4
	2.9	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.15)	3 ↓ (3.25)	2.38 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
31.5%

Draw
30.3%

América RN
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário Fortaleza's form might have worsened.

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América RN's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América RN, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferroviário Fortaleza - América RN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Felipe Cruz ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent performances by Ferroviário have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América RN is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferroviário may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Treze - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Sousa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
09.05.25	Santa Cruz Recife - América RN	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Central SC - América RN	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	América RN - Treze	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Horizonte - América RN	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Ferroviário Fortaleza - América RN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide