Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Santa Cruz de Natal		Treze

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.95	3.3	1.84
	4.09	3.15	1.8
	4.14	3.43	1.8	Watch
	4.12	3.38	1.79
	3.95	3.3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.23)	3.28 ↑ (3.22)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz de Natal
23.3%

Draw
27.7%

Treze
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treze's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Cruz de Natal - Treze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Santa Cruz de Natal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Treze has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Treze might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Central SC	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW
- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Treze - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Horizonte - Treze	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Treze - Sousa	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	América RN - Treze	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Treze - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.12.24	Treze - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0
Brazilian Serie D
21.07.24	Treze - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0
27.04.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Treze	3:4

Santa Cruz de Natal - Treze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide