Match Info

Mocambola - Round 17

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Ferroviário de Maputo		Desportivo de Nacala

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.14	4.77
	1.55	3.56	5.91	Watch
	1.64	3.36	5.2
	1.53	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	5.37 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário de Maputo
56.3%

Draw
26.8%

Desportivo de Nacala
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário de Maputo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Desportivo de Nacala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ferroviário de Maputo - Desportivo de Nacala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Desportivo de Nacala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferro de Maputo is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ferro de Maputo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
01.11.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	3:1 ✺
02.10.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - ENH Vilankulo	2:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.09.25	Fanalamanga - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:2 ✺
Mozambique Moçambola
07.09.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Maputo	74:57 ✺
25.08.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLT
- Desportivo de Nacala
Mozambique Moçambola
27.08.25	Black Bulls - Desportivo de Nacala	6:1 ✺
02.11.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Desportivo de Nacala	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Costa do Sol - Desportivo de Nacala	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Textáfrica - Desportivo de Nacala	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Desportivo de Nacala - Brera Tchumene	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
02.11.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Desportivo de Nacala	1:0
06.07.24	Desportivo de Nacala - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:2

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