Match Info

Mocambola - Round 1

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Ferroviário de Maputo		Black Bulls

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.65	2.9
	2.45	2.82	2.88
	2.49	2.76	2.89
	2.6	2.68	2.98	Watch
	2.48	2.78	2.95
	2.36	2.83	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário de Maputo
36.4%

Draw
32.7%

Black Bulls
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário de Maputo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Black Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ferroviário de Maputo - Black Bulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro de Maputo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Black Bulls	19	13	5	1	28:9	19	44
7	Ferroviario Maputo	19	7	5	7	14:11	3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
14.12.25	Ferroviário de Nacala - Ferroviário de Maputo	Canceled ✺
24.11.25	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Desportivo de Nacala	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	3:1 ✺
02.10.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - ENH Vilankulo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?LWWT
- Associação Black Bulls
Mozambique Super Cup
21.03.26	UD Songo - Black Bulls	2:2 ✺
Mozambique Moçambola
14.12.25	Black Bulls - UD Songo	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Black Bulls - Chingale de Tete	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Black Bulls - ENH Vilankulo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
09.08.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0
Mozambique Super Cup
15.03.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:2 penalties
Mozambique Moçambola
29.09.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Black Bulls	1:0
02.06.24	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:1
29.10.23	Ferroviário de Maputo - Black Bulls	0:2
24.06.23	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:1
15.10.22	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0

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