Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 18

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Fethiyespor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.6
	2.14	3.23	3.23	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3
	2.14	3.54	3.03	Watch
	2.12	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.53)	3.22 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fethiyespor
44%

Draw
27.9%

Ankara Demirspor
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fethiyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankara Demirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankara Demirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Caliskan L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Fethiyespor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fethiyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fethiyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ankara Demirspor	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7
14	Fethiyespor	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ankara Demirspor - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fethiyespor
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.12.25	Fethiyespor - Mardin 1969	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Muş Spor - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Fethiyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Fethiyespor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLTL
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.12.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Ankara Demirspor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Bursaspor - Ankara Demirspor	4:0 ✺
06.12.25	Ankara Demirspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Menemenspor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
24.08.25	Ankara Demirspor - Fethiyespor	1:0
19.03.23	Ankara Demirspor - Fethiyespor	2:1
05.10.22	Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:2

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