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Current Win Probability
Feyenoord 15.6%
Draw 19.4%
Ajax 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
24.6%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
23.6%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Feyenoord - Ajax Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dinkla C. (C) 14. de Graaf E. 5. Brandt A. 8. Haverhoek T. 16. Sasaki R. 10. Van De Westeringh K. 21. van Bentem T. 6. Van Deursen E. 25. van de Lavoir R. 9. DellaPeruta V. 11. Dostmohamed I.
28. Liefting F. (G) 21. Thomas K. 4. Kees S. 5. Knol A. 2. Visscher A. 16. te Brake S. 6. Noordam N. 8. Spitse S. (C) 26. Kip X. 9. Snoeijs K. 15. Touon E.
Substitutes
24. Akachar N. . Casey Phair 26. de Paus S. 28. Hulswit Z. 18. Oosting L. (G) . Paliama J. 4. Schmid M. 19. Stoit F. 22. Szymczak O. (G) . Vinckers J.
35. Deitelzweig K. 24. De Klonia D. 3. Noordermeer D. 10. Smits J. 1. van der Vliet D. (G) 30. Van Dijk E. 12. van Hensbergen J.
Coaches
Pieters M.
Bruil A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Kees S. ⚽, te Brake S. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Spitse S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', van de Lavoir R. ↓, Stoit F. ↑,
47', Liefting F. 🟨,
48', 1 - 2, DellaPeruta V. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Kip X. ↓, Deitelzweig K. ↑,
65', Stoit F. ↓, Casey Phair ↑,
68', 1 - 3, te Brake S. ⚽, Visscher A. (A),
69', Thomas K. ↓, De Klonia D. ↑,
75', Kees S. ↓, Van Egmond B. ↑,
76', DellaPeruta V. ↓, Hulswit Z. ↑,
82', de Graaf E. 🟨,
84', de Graaf E. ↓, Akachar N. ↑,
90', Sasaki R. ↓, Paliama J. ↑,
90+1', Van Egmond B. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 9th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ajax for this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Feyenoord has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:25 (averaging 0.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Feyenoord against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).