Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Austria	DAZN
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	VG+
Switzerland	Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+


	Feyenoord		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.32	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.42	3.56	2.92
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.3	3.58	3.15	Watch
	1.84	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	3.11 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
42.7%

Draw
26.9%

Fenerbahçe
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feyenoord's form might have worsened.

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	19.3%	17.5%

Feyenoord - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 34 - 64.2%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 8 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 51.3% – 77.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (5.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 13 - 52%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 10 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 30. Lotomba J. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 15. Bos J. 14. Steijn S. (C) 6. Hwang In-Beom 8. Timber Q. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 16. Sauer L.	1. Egribayat I. (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 33. Brown A. 53. Szymanski S. 34. Amrabat S. 7. Fred 17. Kahveci I. C. 19. En Nesyri Y. 70. Aydin O.
Substitutes
1. Bijlow J. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 47. Kraaijeveld T. 43. Plug J. 26. Read G. 36. Slory J. 10. Stengs C. 28. Targhalline O. 17. Tengstedt C. 40. Valente L.	95. Akcicek Y. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 6. Djiku A. 10. Duran J. 28. Elmaz B. 40. Livakovic D. (G) 22. Mercan L. 27. Semedo N. 4. Soyuncu C. 23. Tosun C.
Coaches
van Persie R.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Timber Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
58', Aydin O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
61', Timber Q. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
61', Sauer L. ↓, Valente L. ↑,
77', Fred ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
77', Ueda A. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
77', Lotomba J. ↓, Read G. ↑,
83', Bos J. 🟨,
84', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Targhalline O. ↑,
84', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Amrabat S. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Hadj Moussa A. ⚽, Bos J. (A),
90+5', Targhalline O. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Feyenoord have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Feyenoord has had a series of home games.

Feyenoord might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Feyenoord won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Feyenoord - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Feyenoord - Nice	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Feyenoord - Gent	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Feyenoord - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Cambuur - Feyenoord	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTW
- Fenerbahçe
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Fenerbahçe - Lazio	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	3:2 ✺
23.07.25	Fenerbahçe - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	4:0 ✺
20.07.25	Leiria - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Portimonense - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.18	Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord	3:3
UEFA Europa League
08.12.16	Feyenoord - Fenerbahçe	0:1
29.09.16	Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord	1:0

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