Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Figueirense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.7
				Watch
	3.05	2.7	2.55
	3.29	2.84	2.66
	3.1	2.62	2.62
	3.08	2.82	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.7)	2.76 ↓ (2.94)	2.61 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
30.9%

Draw
33.6%

CRB Maceio
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.6%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Figueirense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 9).

Figueirense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches CRB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
09.10.20	Figueirense - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
06.10.20	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
02.10.20	Figueirense - Osasco Sporting	4:1 ✺
29.09.20	Avaí - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLWL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.20	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	4:1 ✺
14.10.20	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
06.10.20	Confiança - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
02.10.20	CRB Maceio - Avaí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.11.19	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	0:0
24.08.19	Figueirense - CRB Maceio	2:2
24.11.18	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	2:1
31.07.18	Figueirense - CRB Maceio	0:0
27.10.17	Figueirense - CRB Maceio	3:1
11.07.17	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	2:1

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