Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	CRB Maceio		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.08	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.34	3.68
	2.1	3.28	3.54
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.08	3.24	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
44.7%

Draw
28.9%

Operário Ferroviario
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (C) 32. Hereda 44. Henri 82. Wallace 36. Lucas Lovat 45. De Lucca 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael	33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 44. Klaus 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 39. Matheus Trindade 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
22. Bressan 16. David Braw 7. Douglas Baggio 18. Geovane 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 60. Maycon 6. Reverson 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 26. Maguinho 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 92. Pablo 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Pedro Castro ⚽, De Lucca (A),
18', Mikael Doka 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Pedro Castro ⚽, Mikael (A),
30', Cuenu J. 🟨,
38', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
46', Pereira H. ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
46', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Mikael ⚽,
64', Matheus Albino ↓, Vitor Caetano ↑,
69', Caio Dantas ↓, Pablo ↑,
69', Aylon ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
71', Mikael ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
71', Crystopher Ribeiro ↓, Geovane ↑,
72', Miranda 🟨,
81', Thiaguinho ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
81', Dada Belmonte ↓, Reverson ↑,
88', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
90+1', Vitor Caetano 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

CRB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Operário PR has had a series of home games.

CRB is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in CRB: Crystopher Ribeiro (Injury) Danielzinho (Yellow Cards) Fabio Alemao (Inactive) Geovane (Inactive)

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive) Zuluaga J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Miranda (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, CRB won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.5%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	CRB Maceio - Sousa	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.11.25	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	2:2
17.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	1:1
24.11.24	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
04.08.24	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:0
21.10.22	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
05.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:3
28.11.21	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:1

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