Match Info

Serie B - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	CRB Maceio		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.84	3.3	4.57	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
	1.85	3.39	4.32	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	4.26 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
50%

Draw
28.2%

Chapecoense
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

CRB Maceio - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Chapecoense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 60. Hayner 44. Henri 4. Segovia L. (C) 6. Willian Bahia 5. Lucas Kallyel 22. Higor Meritao 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 99. Daniel Lima 11. David	12. Leo Vieira (G) 26. Everton 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 4. Joao Paulo 37. Clar W. 16. Bruno Matias 5. Jorge Jimenez 27. Eduardo Person 97. Dentinho 9. Mario Sergio 7. Marcinho
Substitutes
34. Darlisson 27. Dioran 30. Fernando Henrique 8. Gege 2. Matheus Ribeiro 70. Nathan Melo 18. Rafinha 33. Rodriguinho 20. Vinicius Barata 77. Vitinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	3. Eduardo Doma 29. Gabriel Werner (G) 11. Getulio 77. Italo 6. Mancha 95. Marcinho 8. Marlon 99. Rafael Carvalheira 30. Thomas Bedinelli 25. Victor Caetano
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, David ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Paulo ↓, Eduardo Doma ↑,
46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Marcinho ↑,
58', Thiaguinho 🟨,
62', Eduardo Person ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
64', Thiaguinho ↓, Gege ↑,
64', David ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
75', Danielzinho ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
75', Daniel Lima ↓, Dioran ↑,
77', Everton ↓, Italo ↑,
80', Lucas Kallyel ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
81', Bruno Matias 🟨,
81', Lucas Kallyel 🟨,
84', Dentinho ↓, Getulio ↑,
89', Matheus Albino 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 3.

Recent matches CRB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chapecoense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match CRB is a favorite.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Ronaldo Mendes (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches CRB won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	CRB Maceio - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
15.03.25	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Chapecoense - Joinville	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:1 penalties ✺
22.02.25	Chapecoense - Joinville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.08.24	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	0:0
10.05.24	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	2:0
07.11.23	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	3:2
09.07.23	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	2:1
04.10.22	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	2:1
21.06.22	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	1:2
12.12.20	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	3:2

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