Match Info

Date: 1 August 2021, Sunday


	Figueirense		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.3
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.35	2.8	2.2
	3.56	3.1	2.27
	3.6	2.6	2.25
	3.54	2.81	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.99)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	2.24 (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
27.1%

Draw
32%

Grêmio Novorizontino
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

21.2%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Figueirense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Figueirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novorizontino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.21	Criciúma - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
17.07.21	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
11.07.21	Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
05.07.21	Ituano - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
28.06.21	Ypiranga - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.07.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
09.07.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:2 ✺
03.07.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
29.05.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Figueirense	1:0
Copa do Brasil
06.02.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Figueirense	1:2

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