Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)


	Ituano		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.60
	1.81	3.20	4.00	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.87
	2.06	3.11	3.8	Watch
	1.95	2.90	3.60
	2.01	3.19	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	3.76 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
46.3%

Draw
29.4%

Figueirense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ituano - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (G) 9. Bruno Mezenga 4. Carlao 5. Gabriel William 10. Guilherme Xavier (C) 3. Leo Coltro 2. Lucas Mota 11. Neto Berola 8. Richard 7. Thassio 6. Tiaguinho	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 14. Breno 99. Emerson Galego 30. Jean Mangabeira (C) 25. Jhonnathan 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 7. Raynan
Substitutes
17. Alason Carioca 21. Felipe Muranga 20. Fernando Canesin 19. Gabriel Razera 16. Guilherme Dal Pian 14. Leandro Sergipe 23. Leo Passos 13. Leo Souza 22. Marlinho 15. Martha 18. Nelsinho 12. Pantera J. (G)	11. Arthur Martins 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 35. Flavio 91. Hyuri 70. Igor Bolt 77. Joao Choco 5. Renan Areias 22. Vitor Ricardo
Coaches
Dias F.	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Jean Mangabeira 🟨,
28', Emerson Galego 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Breno ↓, Renan Areias ↑,
62', Thassio ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
62', Neto Berola ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
62', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
70', Gabriel Razera 🟨,
72', Emerson Galego ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
72', Lucas Alves ↓, Hyuri ↑,
75', Gabriel William ↓, Fernando Canesin ↑,
77', Lucas Mota 🟨,
79', Jose Carlos ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
86', Raynan ↓, Joao Choco ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 13).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ituano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ituano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Itabaiana - Ituano	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Ituano - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Ituano - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWWW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Figueirense - Ituano	2:0
06.09.21	Figueirense - Ituano	1:2
05.07.21	Ituano - Figueirense	1:0

Ituano - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide