Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Ypiranga		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	2.87
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.36	3.1	2.75
	2.59	2.92	2.98
	2.45	2.9	2.8
	2.5	2.95	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
37.2%

Draw
30.9%

Grêmio Novorizontino
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

21.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Novorizontino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ypiranga - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ypiranga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Ypiranga - Manaus	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Manaus - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Ypiranga - Tombense	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:1 ✺
18.10.21	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Manaus - Grêmio Novorizontino	5:0 ✺
25.09.21	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
09.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ypiranga	1:0
11.09.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ypiranga	1:0
09.07.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:2

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