Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 6

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV, Sportklub 8
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3, Sportklub 8
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 8
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app, VIX App


	Finland		Greece

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.83
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.5	3.45	1.86
	4.65	3.52	1.86
	4.59	3.57	1.84	Watch
	4.69	3.69	1.89	Watch
	4.5	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.2)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	1.86 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
21.1%

Draw
27.4%

Greece
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Finland's form might have worsened.

Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greece's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	6.2%	90%

Finland - Greece Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 3 - 3.8%). Greece will win (votes: 72 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Greece: 83.4% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Joronen J. (G) Venezia 17. Alho N. Asteras Tripolis 5. Hoskonen A. Cracovia 4. Ivanov R. Braunschweig 3. Pikkarainen J. Ilves 21. Hakans D. Lech Poznan 8. Lod R. Minnesota United 14. Kairinen K. Sparta Prague 6. Kamara G. Rennes 9. Kallman B. Cracovia 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C) Venezia	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) Newcastle Utd 15. Rota L. AEK 4. Mavropanos K. West Ham 3. Koulierakis K. Wolfsburg 21. Tsimikas K. Liverpool 6. Kourbelis D. Al Khaleej 20. Mantalos P. AEK 7. Masouras G. Olympiacos Piraeus 11. Bakasetas A. (C) Panathinaikos 19. Tzolis C. Club Brugge 14. Pavlidis V. Benfica
Substitutes
7. Antman O. G.A. Eagles 23. Eriksson C. (G) 1. Hradecky L. (G) Bayer Leverkusen 22. Niskanen I. Exeter 16. Nissila U. Puskas Academy 13. Ollila T. Paris FC 2. O'Shaughnessy D. HJK 10. Pukki T. Minnesota United 19. Suhonen A. Hamburger 15. Tenho M. Djurgarden 18. Uronen J. Charlotte FC 11. Valakari O. AIK	9. Douvikas A. Celta Vigo 22. Giannoulis D. Augsburg 17. Hatzidiakos P. FC Copenhagen 18. Konstantelias G. PAOK 13. Mandas C. (G) Lazio 16. Mouzakitis C. Olympiacos Piraeus 8. Ntoi A. Olympiacos Piraeus 10. Pelkas D. Basaksehir 5. Retsos P. Olympiacos Piraeus 23. Siopis M. Cardiff 12. Tzolakis K. (G) Olympiacos Piraeus 2. Vagiannidis G. Panathinaikos
Coaches
Kanerva M.	Jovanovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
10', Alho N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Bakasetas A. ⚽, Koulierakis K. (A),
56', 0 - 2, Tzolis C. ⚽,
60', Ivanov R. 🟨,
67', Pikkarainen J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
67', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
74', Bakasetas A. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
74', Masouras G. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
75', Hakans D. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
75', Kamara G. ↓, Nissila U. ↑,
82', Alho N. ↓, Niskanen I. ↑,
88', Tzolis C. ↓, Giannoulis D. ↑,
88', Mantalos P. ↓, Retsos P. ↑,
90+1', Kourbelis D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Finland won 2.

In this match Greece is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Finland won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland
UEFA Nations League
14.11.24	Ireland - Finland	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Finland - England	1:3 ✺
10.10.24	Finland - Ireland	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	England - Finland	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Greece - Finland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Greece
UEFA Nations League
14.11.24	Greece - England	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Greece - Ireland	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	England - Greece	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Ireland - Greece	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Greece - Finland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
07.09.24	Greece - Finland	3:0
UEFA Euro
18.11.19	Greece - Finland	2:1
05.09.19	Finland - Greece	1:0
UEFA Nations League
15.11.18	Greece - Finland	1:0
15.10.18	Finland - Greece	2:0
UEFA Euro
04.09.15	Greece - Finland	0:1
11.10.14	Finland - Greece	1:1

Finland - Greece: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide