Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 17

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Referee: Eremitaggio E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus


	Fiorentina		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	5.5
	1.45	4.15	5.5
	1.52	4.28	5.63
	1.49	4.56	5.64	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.55	4.03	5.68	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.19 ↓ (4.28)	5.67 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
62%

Draw
21.9%

Parma
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Fiorentina - Parma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 2. Woldvik E. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 16. Lombardi E. 10. Catena M. 21. Severini E. (C) 26. Cherubini M. 4. Bonfantini A. 9. Janogy M. 17. Eiriksdottir H.	12. Ceasar C. (G) 73. Cox D. 25. Ambrosi C. (C) 24. Bou B. 7. Rabot I. 27. Gueguen M. 29. Uffren M. 18. Dominguez L. 19. Zamanian A. 17. Distefano G. 13. Kerr A.
Substitutes
31. Bartalini V. (G) 23. Bettineschi G. (G) 77. Curmark F. 85. Filangeri M. 3. Johansen O. 51. Omarsdottir I. 20. Orsi B. 14. Toniolo M. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 11. Wijnants S.	46. Benedetti V. 23. Cissoko H. 22. Copetti M. (G) 1. Fabiano F. (G) 28. Ferrario Z. 5. Kajan Z. 32. Leskinen D. 9. Lonati G. 6. Masu C. 8. Pondini G. 37. Prugna C. 31. Redondo C.
Coaches
Pinones-Arce P.	Valenti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Uffren M. ↓, Benedetti V. ↑,
34', Bou B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Lombardi E. ↓, Johansen O. ↑,
54', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Omarsdottir I. ↑,
66', Distefano G. ↓, Kajan Z. ↑,
66', Bou B. ↓, Masu C. ↑,
67', Woldvik E. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
68', Cherubini M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
68', Orsi B. 🟨,
82', Zamanian A. ↓, Pondini G. ↑,
82', Kerr A. ↓, Redondo C. ↑,
88', Bonfantini A. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Fiorentina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Fiorentina W: 4.99% Parma W: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fiorentina W	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Parma W	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
15.03.26	Roma - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
11.03.26	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
22.02.26	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Milan - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWL
- Parma Women
Italian Serie A Women
14.03.26	Parma - Genoa	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Inter Milan	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Parma - Roma	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
15.11.25	Parma - Fiorentina	1:1
10.12.22	Parma - Fiorentina	0:4
18.09.22	Fiorentina - Parma	2:1

Fiorentina - Parma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide