The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorenzuola 53.1%
Draw 28.2%
Alessandria 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.2%
30.1%
11.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
28.6%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Fiorenzuola - Alessandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alessandria will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Sussi C. 4. Potop S. (C) 6. Bondioli A. 13. Seck A. 14. Oneto E. 27. Mora L. 5. Nelli J. 21. Morello M. 9. Alberti T. 28. Brogni G.
33. Spurio A. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 6. Soler I. 17. Gega E. 3. Rossi E. 32. Fiumano F. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Pellitteri A. 7. Gazoul M. 9. Siafa O. 99. Samele L.
Substitutes
90. Anelli N. 22. Bertozzi R. (G) 8. Binelli D. 77. Concari G. 2. Gentile D. 3. Maffei M. 29. Musatti M. 20. Popovic G. 38. Reali S. 33. Roteglia S. (G)
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 20. Femia N. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 24. Mastalli A. 21. Nunzella L. 18. Pellegrini L. 66. Sepe A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Seck A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Nelli J. ⚽,
47', 2 - 0, Alberti T. ⚽,
65', Samele L. ↓, Busatto T. ↑,
65', Soler I. ↓, Mastalli A. ↑,
69', Nelli J. ↓, Musatti M. ↑,
69', Bondioli A. ↓, Reali S. ↑,
72', Gazoul M. ↓, Sepe A. ↑,
80', Oneto E. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
81', Potop S. 🟨,
85', Rossi E. ↓, Nunzella L. ↑,
85', Pellitteri A. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
90', Alberti T. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
90+1', Morello M. ↓, Binelli D. ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alessandria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fiorenzuola is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.