Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 34

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Alessandria		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.1
	3.75	3.2	2	Watch
	3.58	3.05	2.2
	3.58	3.03	2.2
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.44	3.08	2.08
	3.45	3.05	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.59)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
26.3%

Draw
30%

Pro Vercelli
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Alessandria - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Spurio A. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 21. Nunzella L. 14. Pellitteri A. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 66. Sepe A. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.	12. Sassi J. (G) 3. Rodio F. 32. Parodi G. 6. Camigliano A. 74. Sarzi D. 8. Iotti I. 14. Santoro S. 16. Haoudi H. 7. Mustacchio M. (C) 9. Nepi A. 27. Maggio M.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 20. Femia N. 32. Fiumano F. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 18. Pellegrini L. 3. Rossi E. 6. Soler I.	55. Caio Ghisleri (G) 23. Casazza G. 33. Citi A. 17. Contaldo F. 30. Forte M. 2. Frey D. 18. Gheza F. 87. Kozlowski O. 99. Mastrantonio D. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 93. Petrella M. 41. Pinzi R. 80. Rojas L. 21. Rutigliano C. 24. Sibilio R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Mustacchio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Nichetti M. 🟨,
64', Nunzella L. ↓, Rossi E. ↑,
64', Sepe A. ↓, Soler I. ↑,
65', Mustacchio M. ↓, Petrella M. ↑,
65', Nepi A. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Soler I. ⚽,
70', Maggio M. ↓, Pinzi R. ↑,
82', Siafa O. ↓, Busatto T. ↑,
82', Mastalli A. ↓, Laukzemis K. ↑,
86', Haoudi H. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3.

Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pro Vercelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pro Vercelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
26.03.24	Triestina - Alessandria	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Alessandria - Renate	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Alessandria - Trento	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
24.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Padova	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Legnago Salus	1:3 ✺
05.03.24	Pro Patria - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	2:0
22.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	0:1
29.11.20	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	2:1
15.12.19	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	2:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
12.05.19	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	3:1
Italian Serie C Group A
02.04.19	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.01.19	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	2:1 penalties

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