The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 30.9%
Draw 32.5%
Renate 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
31.1%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
30.3%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Alessandria - Renate Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Renate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Spurio A. (G) 18. Pellegrini L. 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 23. Ciancio S. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 66. Sepe A. 21. Nunzella L. 99. Samele L. 9. Siafa O.
1. Ombra F. (G) 44. Bosisio M. 13. Alcibiade R. 4. Possenti M. 37. Acampa D. 7. Anghileri M. 54. Vassallo F. 14. Baldassin L. 8. Esposito G. 89. Bocalon R. 95. Sorrentino D.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 20. Femia N. 32. Fiumano F. 7. Gazoul M. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 16. Parrinello T. 14. Pellitteri A.
16. Alfieri V. 79. Bracaglia G. 23. Currarino M. 21. D'Orsi F. 22. Fallani M. (G) 5. Gasperi M. 15. Ghezzi A. 45. Paudice L. 18. Pinzauti L. 10. Procaccio A. 30. Tremolada M. 77. Vimercati A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Vassallo F. 🟨,
42', Gega E. 🟨,
43', Baldassin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bosisio M. ↓, Vimercati A. ↑,
54', Bocalon R. ⚽,
55', Baldassin L. ↓, Currarino M. ↑,
58', Gega E. ↓, Fiumano F. ↑,
59', Sepe A. ↓, Gazoul M. ↑,
63', Alcibiade R. 🟨,
72', Ciancio S. 🟨,
72', Esposito G. 🟨,
72', Samele L. 🟥,
75', Bocalon R. ↓, Paudice L. ↑,
75', Acampa D. ↓, D'Orsi F. ↑,
77', Pellegrini L. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
77', Mastalli A. ↓, Busatto T. ↑,
80', Rota A. 🟨,
90', Nunzella L. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
90', Sorrentino D. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Renate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.