Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio comunale (Fiorenzuola d'Arda)


	Fiorenzuola		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	5.6	3.6	1.55
	5.11	3.73	1.56
	5.49	3.8	1.56
	4.2	3.3	1.7
	5.82	3.6	1.54
	5.6	3.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↓ (7.23)	3.56 ↓ (3.84)	1.6 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
17.6%

Draw
25.5%

Lentigione
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

23.7%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

22.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lentigione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorenzuola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lentigione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fiorenzuola - Lentigione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Lentigione is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 2.

Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lentigione is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Fiorenzuola have a series of guest games.

In this match Lentigione is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.04.25	Ravenna - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Fiorenzuola - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Progresso - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Corticella - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Zenith Prato - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWLL
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.04.25	Lentigione - Progresso	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Corticella - Lentigione	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Lentigione - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Zenith Prato - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Lentigione - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
08.12.24	Lentigione - Fiorenzuola	2:1
13.06.21	Lentigione - Fiorenzuola	0:1
03.02.21	Fiorenzuola - Lentigione	2:4
20.10.19	Lentigione - Fiorenzuola	0:2
07.04.19	Fiorenzuola - Lentigione	1:2
10.03.18	Lentigione - Fiorenzuola	2:2
28.10.17	Fiorenzuola - Lentigione	1:0

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