The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 63.7%
Draw 24.7%
Progresso 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
26.9%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
25.3%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lentigione's performance.
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Lentigione - Progresso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 5.
Lentigione is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Progresso has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Lentigione is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Lentigione will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lentigione won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
Watch
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