Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 30

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fiorenzuola		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	5.35	3.97	1.61
	5.35	3.97	1.62
	4	3.4	1.75
	5	3.68	1.6
	4.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (2.78)	3.75 ↑ (3.1)	1.64 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
19.2%

Draw
24.6%

Triestina
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Triestina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Triestina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Fiorenzuola - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Triestina will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Triestina: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 2. Gentile D. 4. Potop S. (C) 6. Bondioli A. 3. Maffei M. 27. Mora L. 5. Nelli J. 32. Di Gesu E. 30. D'Amico F. 9. Alberti T. 11. Bocic M.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 42. Moretti L. 3. Malomo A. (C) 33. Rizzo N. 72. Pavlev D. 4. Vallocchia A. 21. Fofana L. 38. Petrasso L. 8. El Azrak R. 9. Redan D. 10. Lescano F.
Substitutes
90. Anelli N. 22. Bertozzi R. (G) 28. Brogni G. 18. Ceravolo F. 34. Grisendi F. 29. Musatti M. 14. Oneto E. 20. Popovic G. 38. Reali S. 13. Seck A. 19. Sussi C.	22. Agostino G. (G) 6. Anzolin M. 28. Celeghin E. 13. Ciofani M. 15. Correia O. 40. Crosara M. 16. Diakite M. (G) 30. D'Urso C. 5. Gunduz T. 17. Jonsson K. 18. Minesso M. 27. Ogliari H. 99. Vertainen E.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Triestina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fiorenzuola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
25.02.24	Fiorenzuola - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
19.02.24	Legnago Salus - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Fiorenzuola - Pro Vercelli	3:3 ✺
05.02.24	Trento - Fiorenzuola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLWTW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
02.03.24	Triestina - Legnago Salus	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lumezzane - Triestina	3:0 ✺
13.02.24	Triestina - Renate	1:3 ✺
09.02.24	Mantova - Triestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	2:1
20.02.22	Fiorenzuola - Triestina	0:1
17.10.21	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	1:0

Fiorenzuola - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide