Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Triestina		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.11	3.25	4.01
	2.25	2.87	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3.08	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.96)	3.08 (3.08)	3.74 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
44.4%

Draw
30.5%

Renate
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Triestina - Renate Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 6. Moretti A. 23. Silvestri T. 14. Anzolin M. 26. D'Amore F. 29. Kijalic 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. 21. Tonetto M. 11. Gunduz T. 27. Faggioli A.	22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 32. Ghezzi A. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 14. Cali M. 13. Spalluto S.
Substitutes
22. Borriello F. (G) 33. Crnigoj D. 10. D'Urso C. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 18. Louati A. 30. Neri F. (G) 32. Okolo D. 28. Pedicillo L. 4. Rodolfo Moises 2. Silvestro A. 16. Vicario J.	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 8. Esposito G. 10. Kolaj A. 72. Mastromonaco G. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 18. Ovalle Santos A. 19. Ziu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Spedalieri J. ↓, Ziu D. ↑,
57', Rossi G. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Kljajic N. ⚽,
64', Riviera C. ↓, Kolaj A. ↑,
66', Tonetto M. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
66', Auriletto S. 🟨,
75', Vassallo F. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
75', Kljajic N. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
75', Cali M. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Ionita A. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Gunduz T. ⚽,
89', Gunduz T. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Triestina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Inter U23 - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lumezzane - Triestina	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Triestina - Lecco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Renate - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Renate - Brescia	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.25	Renate - Triestina	0:1
22.11.24	Triestina - Renate	0:1
13.02.24	Triestina - Renate	1:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Triestina - Renate	4:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.23	Renate - Triestina	1:1
15.03.23	Renate - Triestina	1:4
12.11.22	Triestina - Renate	1:1

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