Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Triestina

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.55	3.94
	1.72	3.43	5.05
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.71	3.52	4.4
	1.75	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)	4.21 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
52.5%

Draw
25.9%

Triestina
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Triestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mantova - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 5. Redolfi A. 13. Brignani F. 4. Celesia C. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. 30. Bragantini D. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 72. Pavlev D. 42. Moretti L. 13. Ciofani M. 6. Anzolin M. 4. Vallocchia A. 15. Correia O. 30. D'Urso C. 8. El Azrak R. 9. Redan D. 10. Lescano F.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 28. Muroni M. 22. Napoli A. (G) 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	22. Agostino G. (G) 28. Celeghin E. 40. Crosara M. 16. Diakite M. (G) 21. Fofana L. 14. Germano U. 5. Gunduz T. 19. Kacinari A. 18. Minesso M. 27. Ogliari 38. Petrasso L. 33. Rizzo N. 99. Vertainen E.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1.

Mantova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Triestina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
04.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Mantova - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Pro Sesto - Mantova	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mantova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
08.01.24	Padova - Mantova	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWTW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
04.02.24	Triestina - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	2:3 ✺
07.01.24	Trento - Triestina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Triestina - Mantova	4:1
05.03.23	Mantova - Triestina	1:0
30.10.22	Triestina - Mantova	2:1
27.02.22	Mantova - Triestina	0:1
20.10.21	Triestina - Mantova	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
02.05.21	Triestina - Mantova	1:1
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0

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