Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 26

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fittja		Nyköping

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	3.85	3.80	1.63
	4.74	4.14	1.51
	4.19	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.65	4.05	1.49
	4.21	4.45	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.5)	4.13 ↑ (3.8)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fittja
21.1%

Draw
21.8%

Nyköping
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

23.1%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22.4%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fittja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nyköping's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fittja than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Fittja - Nyköping Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 3rd).

Fittja is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nyköping is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nyköping carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fittja has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Nykopings	26	14	4	8	44:28	16	46
8	Fittja	26	11	3	12	41:41	0	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fittja IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
11.10.26	Sleipner - Fittja	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Farsta - Fittja	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Fittja - Nacka FC	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Smedby - Fittja	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fittja - Forward	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
11.10.26	Nyköping - Karlslund	4:1 ✺
02.10.26	Smedby - Nyköping	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Örebro Syrianska - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Nyköping - Eker Örebro	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Lindö - Nyköping	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
06.06.26	Nyköping - Fittja	0:2

Fittja - Nyköping