Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Fjölnisvöllur (Grafarvogur)


	Fjölnir		Grótta

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.5
	1.73	3.95	3.55	Watch
	1.82	4.15	3.44
	1.77	4.26	3.46
	1.75	4	3.5
	1.74	4.1	3.62	Watch
	1.79	3.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	4.04 ↑ (3.95)	3.5 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
51.6%

Draw
22.5%

Grótta
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Grótta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fjölnir - Grótta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Grótta will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fjölnir: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Georgsson H. (G) 7. Axelsson D. 22. Berndsen B. 29. Gudmundsson G. (C) 3. Haraldsson R. 10. Hardarson A. 5. Hilmarsson D. 9. Hilmarsson M. 14. Ingvarsson D. 4. Juliusson J. 16. Thorhalsson O.	1. Danielsson R. (G) 16. Arnarsson A. 77. Arnason P. 12. Eyjolfsson G. 29. Jakobsson G. 18. Josepsson A. 19. Melsted K. 10. Petursson K. (C) 17. Robertsson T. 8. Shihab T. 14. Timan D.
Substitutes
11. Arnarsson J. 88. Arnarsson K. 20. Hafstein B. T. 25. Hardarson S. (G) 17. Hjalmarsson V. 6. Reynisson S. 8. Thorlacius O.	25. Bragason R. 2. Helgason A. 32. Henriksen T. (G) 21. McShane H. 5. Petursson P. 3. Ratsiu T. 11. Sigurdarson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Timan D. ↓, McShane H. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Petursson K. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Thorhalsson O. ⚽,
30', Arnarsson A. ↓, Petursson P. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Hilmarsson M. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Hilmarsson M. ⚽,
64', 4 - 1, Hilmarsson M. (Pen),
71', Robertsson T. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
71', Melsted K. ↓, Ratsiu T. ↑,
71', Josepsson A. ↓, Helgason A. ↑,
71', Thorhalsson O. ↓, Arnarsson K. ↑,
71', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Reynisson S. ↑,
75', 5 - 1, Reynisson S. ⚽,
77', Hardarson A. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
77', Axelsson D. ↓, Hafstein B. T. ↑,
80', Ingvarsson D. ↓, Thorlacius O. ↑,
85', 5 - 2, Arnason P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fjölnir won 0.

Fjölnir is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grótta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Grótta have a series of home games.

In this match Fjölnir is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fjölnir won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Fjölnir won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
26.06.24	Afturelding - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	IR Reykjavik - Fjölnir	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Fjölnir - Njarðvík	4:2 ✺
01.06.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWT
- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 1
26.06.24	Grótta - IR Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
19.06.24	Grótta - Njarðvík	2:3 ✺
13.06.24	Grótta - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3 ✺
07.06.24	Grótta - Throttur Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Grótta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
16.08.23	Grótta - Fjölnir	3:3
08.06.23	Fjölnir - Grótta	2:2
10.09.22	Fjölnir - Grótta	0:1
05.07.22	Grótta - Fjölnir	4:1
15.07.21	Grótta - Fjölnir	2:1
14.05.21	Fjölnir - Grótta	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.09.20	Grótta - Fjölnir	2:2

Fjölnir - Grótta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide