Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Flamengo		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.9
	1.83	3.43	4.05
	1.88	3.36	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.77	3.48	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	4.01 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
50.1%

Draw
27.2%

Fluminense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Flamengo - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Karol Alves (G) 29. Brendha 44. Couto Sofia 11. Cristiane 16. Flavia Mota 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira 20. Kaylane 31. Laysa 10. Mariana 3. Nubia	99. Kemelli (G) 26. Anny 17. Carioca 33. Cotrim 35. Driely 11. Kamilla 8. Karina (C) 20. Keke 21. Lele 4. Nath Rodrigues 77. Raquel
Substitutes
34. Ana Laura 35. Anna Luiza 25. Bibi (G) 13. Bruna Santos 99. Costa Garrit N. 7. Fabi Simoes 17. Maisa 38. Maria Fernanda 78. Nicoli 49. Souza Oliveira L. 5. Thaisa	30. Adrielly 7. Bruna Pele 13. Cacau 5. Claudinha 97. Dani Venturini 15. Debora Sorriso 81. Duarte K. 3. Gislaine 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 41. Louvain 10. Sochor 6. Tata

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Anny 🟨,
22', Kaylane 🟨,
34', Kamilla 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Cristiane ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karina ↓, Claudinha ↑,
58', Nath Rodrigues ↓, Sochor ↑,
60', Karol Alves 🟨,
69', Carioca ↓, Bruna Pele ↑,
70', Mariana 🟨,
76', Mariana ↓, Thaisa ↑,
78', Driely ↓, Adrielly ↑,
78', Lele ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
86', Nubia ↓, Maisa ↑,
90+8', Laysa ↓, Anna Luiza ↑,
90+8', Kaylane ↓, Souza Oliveira L. ↑,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
11.05.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Flamengo - Bahia	1:3 ✺
30.03.26	Palmeiras - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLT
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
09.05.26	Fluminense - Santos	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Mixto - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio Women
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	2:0
Brazilian Carioca Women
21.11.25	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:0
14.11.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0
25.10.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2
Brasileiro Women
16.05.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2
Brazilian Copa Rio Women
23.04.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2
01.03.25	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:2

Flamengo - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide