Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.4	3.15	2.79	Watch
	2.3	2.95	2.65
	2.44	3.49	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.4)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
38.1%

Draw
28.8%

Follonica Gavorrano
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flaminia won 1.

Follonica Gavorrano is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Follonica Gavorrano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Flaminia has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:16 (averaging 1.9:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flaminia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Follonica Gavorrano	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
6	Flaminia	6	3	2	1	9:9	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.09.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Sasso Marconi	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Grassina - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.05.26	Monastir - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3 ET ✺
26.04.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Budoni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWL
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ternana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Grassina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
25.02.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1
23.10.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3
27.04.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	3:1
12.12.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:0
09.05.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Flaminia Civita Castellana	4:3
10.01.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	3:2
02.02.20	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1

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