Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		SanGiovanniValdarno

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.72	3.4	4.4
	1.75	2.81	5.51
	1.76	2.99	5.38
	1.77	3.04	4.9
	1.72	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	4.82 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
52.6%

Draw
28.5%

SanGiovanniValdarno
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flaminia won 1.

Flaminia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SanGiovanniValdarno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flaminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flaminia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Flaminia to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Flaminia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Flaminia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Livorno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Poggibonsi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTWWT
- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Seravezza Pozzi - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ghiviborgo - SanGiovanniValdarno	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Orvietana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
15.12.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:0
12.03.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2
06.11.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1
01.05.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1
19.12.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	3:2
11.04.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:3
20.12.20	SanGiovanniValdarno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1

Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno