Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	SanGiovanniValdarno		Livorno

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.35	2.06
	2.85	3.32	2.15
	2.98	3.18	2.23
	2.65	3.15	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (4.19)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)	2.18 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SanGiovanniValdarno
31%

Draw
27.7%

Livorno
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.3%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SanGiovanniValdarno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SanGiovanniValdarno's performance.

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SanGiovanniValdarno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livorno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Malva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Frati M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Livorno is Confirmed as championsnQualified for

SanGiovanniValdarno is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Livorno is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Livorno is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SanGiovanniValdarno won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams SanGiovanniValdarno won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.04.25	Seravezza Pozzi - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ghiviborgo - SanGiovanniValdarno	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Orvietana	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.04.25	Livorno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Terranuova Traiana - Livorno	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Livorno - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Livorno - Orvietana	4:2 ✺
23.02.25	Montevarchi - Livorno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
10.12.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:1
15.01.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:0

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