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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 49.7%
Draw 26.6%
Gillingham 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
27.4%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
27.3%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Fleetwood Town - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fleetwood Town will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 29. Cirino R. 7. Cannon A. 10. Helm M. 14. McCann L. 17. Evans C. (C) 9. Davies W.
40. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 15. Albarus Z. 14. McKenzie R. 7. Harris K. 10. Hale R. 16. Brophy J. 9. Goodwin W.
Substitutes
3. Andrew D. 35. Costelloe S. 36. Dempsey J. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 15. Murphy A. 22. Pradic J. (G)
17. Antwi C. 30. Booth S. 13. Holtam T. (G) 18. Kendall S. 3. McManus C. 24. Waldock H. 29. Webster H.
Coaches
Lawlor M.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Bennett R. 🟨,
41', Harris K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Brophy J. 🟨,
70', Harris K. ↓, McManus C. ↑,
72', Cirino R. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
73', Davies W. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
73', Cannon A. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
84', Hale R. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
84', Brophy J. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
88', McKenzie R. ↓, Waldock H. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2.
Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gillingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Gillingham has had a series of home games.
In this match, Fleetwood is considered a favorite.
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Wright O.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Gillingham
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
18
Fleetwood
13
3
5
5
15:17
-2
14
Outrights of English League Two for now
Gillingham: 2.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.45%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Gillingham - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.15%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.