The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 47.6%
Draw 27.6%
Gillingham 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.3%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.
Shrewsbury has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Gillingham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gillingham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shrewsbury holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury has recorded 5 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:22 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shrewsbury against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
12
Gillingham
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 2.11% Gillingham: 2%
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.