Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Floresta		Guarany de Sobral

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.62	3.35	5.2
	1.64	3.54	5.52
	1.63	3.25	5.25
	1.6	3.62	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	5.15 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
56%

Draw
26.3%

Guarany de Sobral
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

15.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Guarany de Sobral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floresta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Sobral than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarany de Sobral could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Floresta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarany is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Floresta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Floresta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.10.20	Globo FC - Floresta	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Salgueiro - Floresta	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Campinense - Floresta	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Floresta - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Floresta - América RN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTWT
- Guarany de Sobral
Brazilian Serie D
27.10.20	Guarany de Sobral - América RN	1:3 ✺
22.10.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Guarany de Sobral	2:2 ✺
14.10.20	América RN - Guarany de Sobral	3:0 ✺
04.10.20	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Guarany de Sobral	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Guarany de Sobral - Campinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.01.20	Floresta - Guarany de Sobral	1:1
24.02.19	Guarany de Sobral - Floresta	0:1
16.01.19	Floresta - Guarany de Sobral	0:0

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