Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Floresta		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	2.98	4.25	Watch
	1.96	3.02	4.67
	2.01	2.67	5.05
	1.85	2.75	4.5
	1.82	2.95	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)	4.64 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
48.3%

Draw
31.9%

Maranhão
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

29.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Floresta - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (G) 29. Caique 19. Daniel 8. Danrley 30. Eduardo 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 9. Jeam 5. Jhony Douglas 4. Joao Victor	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 29. Felipe Cruz 18. Keven 4. Lucao 26. Luis Gustavo 25. Mauricio 15. Rosivan 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
3. Afonso 31. Buga 6. Diego Matos 28. Guilherme Borges 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 18. Joao Celeri 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 21. Matheus Martins 11. Rafinha 22. Tiepo (G) 14. Valdo	2. Ball 9. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 6. Lucas Santos 11. Pimentinha 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 14. Tiburcio 12. Vitao
Coaches
Leston Junior	Testoni J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Vagalume (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 2, Felipe Cruz ⚽,
25', Will 🟨,
31', Garraty 🟨,
35', Vagalume 🟨,
44', Jeam 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Daniel ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
46', Danrley ↓, Guilherme Borges ↑,
56', Felipe Cruz ↓, Joelson ↑,
57', Garraty ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
58', Caique ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Jeam ⚽,
70', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
70', Andre Radija ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
74', Keven ↓, Tiburcio ↑,
74', Will ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
82', Jhony Douglas ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
85', Jean 🟨,
89', Mauricio 🟨,
90+2', Jorge Rocha 🟨,
90+4', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
90+5', Eduardo 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17).

Maranhão is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Floresta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Floresta is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Botafogo PB - Floresta	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Floresta - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTTWL
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Maranhão - Ceará	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Sport Recife - Maranhão	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

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