Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)


	Sport Recife		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.25	4.95	9.2
	1.35	5	9.62
	1.26	5.06	10.34
	1.29	4.6	9.5
	1.28	5.26	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	4.94 ↑ (4.34)	9.78 ↑ (9.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
71.9%

Draw
18.7%

Maranhão
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

20.9%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

20.1%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sport Recife - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Halls (G) 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto (C) 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 95. Iury Castilho 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 48. Pedro Martins	2. Ball 3. Edson Fernando 7. Felipe Sales 21. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha (C) 4. Lucao 6. Lucas Santos 26. Luis Gustavo 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 12. Vitao
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 54. Adriel 6. Biel Fonseca 30. Chrystian Barletta 25. Clayson 12. Denis (G) 13. Madson 3. Marcelo Ajul 77. Micael 63. Patrick 9. Pedro Perotti 66. Rafinha	16. Andre Radija 29. Felipe Cruz 1. Jean (G) 18. Keven 25. Mauricio 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Lucas Santos 🟨,
27', Railson 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, de Pena Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 0, Gustavo Maia ⚽,
45', Lucao 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Luis Gustavo ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
46', Jorge Rocha ↓, Vagalume ↑,
46', Ball ↓, Mauricio ↑,
46', Felipe Sales ↓, Will ↑,
46', Rodrigo ↓, Rosivan ↑,
51', Halls 🟨,
60', Augusto ↓, Madson ↑,
60', Gustavo Maia ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
68', de Pena Carlos 🟨,
74', Marlon Douglas ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽, Pedro Perotti (A),
80', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Mauricio 🟥,
87', 4 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Pedro Perotti (A),
90+4', 5 - 0, Clayson ⚽,

Preview

Recife is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maranhão has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Recife is the clear favorite.

We predict that Recife will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Maranhão - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
25.03.26	América RN - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL

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