Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 29

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: FAC-Platz (Vienna)

Referee: Fluch O. (Aut)


	Floridsdorfer AC		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.5	2.3
	2.9	3.63	2.31
	2.82	3.63	2.3
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	2.86	3.43	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.46)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floridsdorfer AC
32.4%

Draw
26.6%

Grazer AK
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floridsdorfer AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floridsdorfer AC's performance.

Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grazer AK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floridsdorfer AC than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floridsdorfer AC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grazer AK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Floridsdorfer AC - Grazer AK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. FAC will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Grazer will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FAC: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spari S. (G) 4. Wallquist B. 19. Becirovic M. (C) 18. Maier M. 15. Bubalovic Ch. 13. Flavio 7. Adewumi O. 8. Smrcka A. 97. Bertaccini P. 99. Haljeta N. 11. Grimbs N.	26. Nicht C. (G) 5. Oberleitner Y. 24. Kochl F. 22. Holzhacker F. 15. Graf L. 7. Satin M. 13. Perchtold M. (C) 16. Mayer T. 11. Eloshvili L. 9. Maderner D. 25. Jastremski L.
Substitutes
41. Bencsics T. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 35. Ikanovic R. 37. Kupinic E. 47. Softic A. 34. Taieb J. 9. Woudstra Y.	19. Gantschnig M. 23. Jager P. 10. Lichtenberger C. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 28. Milla K. 32. Murg M. 27. Rosenberger B.
Coaches
Mörec M.	Messner G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bubalovic Ch. 🟨,
40', Maier M. 🟨,
40', Becirovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Holzhacker F. 🟨,
71', Mayer T. ↓, Jager P. ↑,
71', Eloshvili L. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
78', Holzhacker F. ↓, Rosenberger B. ↑,
78', Jastremski L. ↓, Gantschnig M. ↑,
78', Adewumi O. ↓, Friedrich T. ↑,
81', Wallquist B. 🟨,
85', Bertaccini P. ↓, Softic A. ↑,
85', Maderner D. ↓, Milla K. ↑,
90+4', Grimbs N. ↓, Woudstra Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Grazer is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Bundesliga

Last 5 head-to-head matches FAC won 2.

FAC is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grazer in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grazer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches FAC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams FAC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floridsdorfer AC
Austrian 2 Liga
17.05.24	Horn - Floridsdorfer AC	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	Floridsdorfer AC - Dornbirn	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	Amstetten - Floridsdorfer AC	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	Floridsdorfer AC - First Vienna	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Bregenz - Floridsdorfer AC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW
- Grazer AK
Austrian 2 Liga
17.05.24	Stripfing - Grazer AK	2:5 ✺
11.05.24	Grazer AK - Horn	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	Grazer AK - Admira	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Bregenz - Grazer AK	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Grazer AK - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
12.11.23	Grazer AK - Floridsdorfer AC	1:3
14.05.23	Floridsdorfer AC - Grazer AK	1:2
23.07.22	Grazer AK - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0
18.04.22	Floridsdorfer AC - Grazer AK	2:1
02.10.21	Grazer AK - Floridsdorfer AC	1:0
16.05.21	Floridsdorfer AC - Grazer AK	2:2
14.02.21	Grazer AK - Floridsdorfer AC	1:0

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