Match Info

AUSTRIA: OFB Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: ImmoAgentur Stadion (Bregenz)

Referee: Bosnjak S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	OFB TV, ORF 1


	Bregenz		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.72
	4	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.08	3.8	1.79
	4.04	3.91	1.78	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.73
	4.01	4.05	1.77	Watch
	4	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.29)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.77 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bregenz
23%

Draw
24.4%

Grazer AK
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.7%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bregenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grazer AK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bregenz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grazer AK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Bregenz - Grazer AK Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bregenz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Grazer will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grazer: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gschossmann F. (G) 22. Prirsch F. (C) 20. Mandler T. 27. Dirnberger S. 17. Marte R. 8. Nussbaumer L. 30. Tiefenbach D. 6. Krnjic M. 10. Tartarotti J. 9. Monsberger M. 7. Renan	26. Nicht C. (G) 19. Gantschnig M. 15. Graf L. (C) 4. Kreuzriegler M. 14. Italiano J. 24. Dressel D. 11. Cipot T. 20. Schriebl T. 21. Lang M. 99. Cheukoua M. 12. Vucic R.
Substitutes
13. Ergin B. 92. Fetahu A. 26. Fluckiger F. (G) 37. Rottensteiner M. 70. Stefanon J. 4. Vojic I. 11. Vucenovic M.	28. Frieser D. 30. Jovicic M. 10. Lichtenberger C. 9. Maderner D. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 7. Satin M. 18. Zaizen A.
Coaches
van Acker R.	Poms R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Renan ⚽,
31', Krnjic M. 🟨,
32', Nussbaumer L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cheukoua M. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
46', Monsberger M. ↓, Fetahu A. ↑,
46', Vucic R. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
54', Frieser D. 🟨,
55', Dressel D. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
62', Fetahu A. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
66', Schriebl T. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
71', Krnjic M. ↓, Rottensteiner M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Maderner D. ⚽, Lichtenberger C. (A),
76', Gantschnig M. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Vucenovic M. ⚽, Renan (A),
80', Vucenovic M. 🟨,
85', Cipot T. 🟨,
85', Maderner D. 🟨,
87', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Zaizen A. ↑,
90+1', Renan 🟨,
90+2', Renan ↓, Ergin B. ↑,
90+3', Tartarotti J. 🟨,
90+5', Gschossmann F. 🟨,

Preview

Bregenz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grazer is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grazer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Grazer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bregenz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bregenz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bregenz
Austrian 2 Liga
26.10.24	Bregenz - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Floridsdorfer AC - Bregenz	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Bregenz - Horn	3:1 ✺
27.09.24	Bregenz - First Vienna	3:2 ✺
20.09.24	Stripfing - Bregenz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWWW
- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
27.10.24	Grazer AK - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sturm Graz - Grazer AK	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Grazer AK - ASK Voitsberg	6:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
05.10.24	Austria Wien - Grazer AK	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Grazer AK - Austria Klagenfurt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
27.04.24	Bregenz - Grazer AK	0:3
07.10.23	Grazer AK - Bregenz	1:0

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