Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport


	Foggia		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.63	3.48	5.47
	1.63	3.4	5
	1.62	3.72	5	Watch
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	5.05 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
56.3%

Draw
25.7%

Lecco
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foggia's performance.

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foggia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	14.8%	3.7%

Foggia - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Foggia will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Domingo J. (G) 21. Leo D. 4. Kontek I. 3. Rizzo A. (C) 27. Bjarkason B. 26. Frigerio M. R. 28. Di Noia G. 7. Schenetti A. 32. Costa F. 10. Peralta D. 9. Ogunseye R.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 2. Celjak V. (C) 44. Bianconi A. 32. Lepore F. 96. Galli G. 21. Girelli S. 98. Zuccon F. 23. Zambataro E. 99. Buso N. 18. Pinzauti L. 11. Tordini M.
Substitutes
11. Beretta G. 91. Capogna P. 6. Di Pasquale D. 2. Garattoni A. 44. Iacoponi D. 31. Markic T. 20. Ngagne D. (G) 77. Odjer M. 25. Petermann D. 1. Raccichini M. (G) 98. Rutjens C.	92. Ardizzone F. 13. Battistini M. 45. Bunino C. 31. Cusumano F. 5. Enrici P. 20. Ilari C. 8. Lakti E. 97. Maffi F. (G) 3. Maldini C. 90. Mangni D. 17. Martorelli C. 10. Scapuzzi L. 14. Stanga L. 22. Stucchi S. (G)

Preview

1st leg.

Foggia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lecco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Foggia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
08.06.23	Pescara - Foggia	2:3 penalties ✺
04.06.23	Foggia - Pescara	2:2 ✺
31.05.23	Crotone - Foggia	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Foggia - Crotone	1:0 ✺
22.05.23	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTTWW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
08.06.23	Cesena - Lecco	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Lecco - Cesena	1:2 ✺
31.05.23	Pordenone - Lecco	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Lecco - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
22.05.23	Lecco - Ancona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLT

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