Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Foggia		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.55	1.65
	4.97	3.59	1.74
	4.72	3.52	1.72	Watch
	4.72	3.52	1.66	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.65)	3.57 ↓ (3.73)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
19.5%

Draw
25.7%

Crotone
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.5%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Foggia - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Crotone will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Foggia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crotone (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Borbei A. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 77. Olivieri E. 24. Valietti F. 18. Oliva M. 8. Garofalo V. 14. Panico C. 92. Winkelmann T. 99. D'Amico F. 17. Sylla Y.	1. Merelli D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 20. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 96. Zunno M. 11. Murano J. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G. (C)
Substitutes
26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 40. Castaldi G. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 23. Morelli G. 47. Pazienza O. 54. Pellegrino G. 1. Perucchini F. (G) 25. Staver C.	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 5. Cargnelutti R. 72. Cocetta N. 16. Gallo A. 23. Groppelli F. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Valietti F. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽,
26', Sylla Y. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Berra F. ⚽,
45', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
45+1', Valietti F. ↓, Morelli G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Winkelmann T. ↓, Ilicic M. ↑,
46', Oliva M. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Murano J. ⚽,
54', Pellegrino G. 🟨,
61', Gomez G. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
62', Maggio M. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
63', Vinicius 🟥,
67', Murano J. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
75', Panico C. ↓, Agnelli G. ↑,
77', Zunno M. 🟨,
80', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
80', Zunno M. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
84', Sylla Y. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
90+4', Gallo A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.

Foggia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crotone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Foggia - Latina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLTTT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.25	Crotone - Foggia	3:2
30.11.24	Foggia - Crotone	1:1
26.02.24	Foggia - Crotone	2:1
21.10.23	Crotone - Foggia	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
31.05.23	Crotone - Foggia	2:2
27.05.23	Foggia - Crotone	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.23	Crotone - Foggia	1:1

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