Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Emile Mayrisch (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Fola Esch		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.8	1.36
	4.75	3.75	1.62
	4.01	5.25	1.58
	3.58	4.97	1.68
	5.04	4.4	1.49
	5.2	4.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (6.24)	4.65 ↓ (5)	1.53 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fola Esch
19.6%

Draw
19.9%

Differdange 03
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

17.9%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fola Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fola Esch's performance.

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Differdange 03 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fola Esch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Differdange 03 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fola Esch - Differdange 03 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tshitoku J. ⚽, Diallo J. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Tawaba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Fola Esch	6:0 ✺
12.05.24	Fola Esch - Käerjéng 97	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Mondercange - Fola Esch	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Fola Esch - Racing Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	UNA Strassen - Fola Esch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.24	Differdange 03 - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Differdange 03 - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Pétange - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
24.04.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
06.08.23	Differdange 03 - Fola Esch	5:1
04.03.23	Fola Esch - Differdange 03	3:2
04.09.22	Differdange 03 - Fola Esch	6:0
13.02.22	Fola Esch - Differdange 03	2:4
22.08.21	Differdange 03 - Fola Esch	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.20	Differdange 03 - Fola Esch	4:2
Luxembourg National Division
02.12.18	Fola Esch - Differdange 03	3:0

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