Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.92	2.62
	2.31	3.02	2.91
	3.92	3.84	1.75	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.59
	1.89	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.87)	3.22 ↓ (3.53)	2.65 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
35.3%

Draw
29.2%

Chievo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.6%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore Caratese's form might have worsened.

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Folgore Caratese - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Costantino R. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Costantino R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Tremolada L. (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Folgore Caratese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Chievo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Folgore Caratese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Folgore Caratese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Club Milano	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.10.25	Pavia - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Leon	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Vogherese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- AC Chievo
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Chievo - Rovato Vertovese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.25	Chievo - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Breno - Chievo	2:2 ✺
25.09.25	Chievo - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Milan Futuro - Chievo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
02.02.25	Chievo - Folgore Caratese	1:1
06.10.24	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:0

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