Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 3

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.59
	1.30	4.29	11.94	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	3.76 ↑ (3.48)	7.1 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
61.5%

Draw
25.2%

Castellanzese
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore Caratese's performance.

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellanzese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 🟥,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 2.

Folgore Caratese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Folgore Caratese is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.25	Folgore Caratese - Milan U20	3:1 ✺
07.08.25	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.05.25	Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Folgore Caratese - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTLT
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.09.25	Castellanzese - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Breno - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Castellanzese - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Desenzano Calvina - Castellanzese	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
27.04.25	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:2
15.12.24	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	5:1
28.01.24	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	1:2
01.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	2:2
24.04.22	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	2:1
08.12.21	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.06.21	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:1

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